TABR News

CONCLUSION—Still Bullish, But Some Divergences Growing Let’s keep it simple.  Several stock indexes, including the S&P 500, S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index and the NY Composite, have made new all-time highs in the past few days.  This has been confirmed by various Advance/Decline lines, as shown in the chart below, courtesy of www.stockcharts.com. As noted previously, […]

Steve Medland appeared as a guest expert for 35 minutes to answer callers’ questions on the Your Money radio show:  “You read a lot about the U.S. budget and policy, but have you ever wondered how these stories directly affect you? Each week, Wharton economist and public policy expert Kent Smetters gets to the bottom […]

Conclusion – Range Bound Until Broken The characteristics we’ve written about the past two months for the U.S. stock market remain in place—a bull market until proven otherwise, with a fairly narrow range, and the NY Advance/Decline Line making another new high as recently as April 15. Trading during the past two months has been […]

TABR has released the March 2015 Newsletter. Download TABR Quarterly Newsletter here.

CONCLUSION—The Same as Last Month Not much has changed since our mid-month update in February—a mostly bullish stock market environment, until proven otherwise.  We have been in a trading range since mid-November, with an upward bias.  The S&P 500 dropped -3.54% from February 24 to March 11, but has recovered almost all of that in […]

CONCLUSION—Trading Range, But Mostly Bullish Until Proven Otherwise Most stock indexes were down about -3% in January, and this brought out the chorus of “as January goes, so goes the rest of the year.”  But that calendar anomaly has not worked in recent years, and here we are, two weeks into Febuary, and the losses […]

CONCLUSION—Expect More Up and Down Volatility In the 5 trading days ending January 6, the S&P 500 Index dropped nearly -4% and in the process, wiped out the entire gains from the normally favorable seasonal periods in November and December.  In actuality, December was a down month for that index, but other indexes did rise. […]

Bob Kargenian was quoted by Barry Ritholtz in his Bloomberg article, No Room for Feelings in the Market. The article discusses the tendency of market commentators to make predictions based on market sentiment. According to Bob Kargenian, “If you’re bullish and wrong, you usually have plenty of company. But if you’re bearish and wrong, it’s almost unforgivable.” […]

CONCLUSION—A Classic Topping Process Since our last email update on Halloween six weeks ago, there has been a considerable amount of both up and down volatility in world stock markets.  From the October 15 low for most markets to December 5, the top for most markets, various indexes rallied anywhere from +5% (EEM—Emerging Markts Index) […]

TABR has released the December 2014 Newsletter. Download TABR Quarterly Newsletter here.