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Monthly Updates

The Ins & Outs of 529 College Plans, And Beware Of Ratios

In this edition of our quarterly newsletter, we’re going to tackle the majority of the key points when considering investing in a 529 College Plan account. In addition, we have what we hope is an enlightening piece on the use of ratios when examining financial markets. 529 College Savings Plans—What You Should Know Back in […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

The Bullet Proof Fabulous Five, And Where’s The “High” In High Yield

I’m sure somewhere there must be an emoji to convey sarcasm. If you know of one, make sure to put it at the end of the first part of this month’s headline, because the intent of the message is absolutely to ridicule such a thought. What thought am I referring to?  The notion that 5 […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

It’s All About Supply And Demand, Not Necessarily Mean Reversion

At any given time, there can be considerable debate among financial strategists, money managers and commentators about whether stocks are cheap or expensive. Most of this is predicated on fundamental analysis, where one is looking at earnings, sales, dividends, cash flow and other fundamental metrics. As you will see below, relative to the past, going […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

Graduation 2017, And Beware Of Cycles

Thirty-six years ago this month, I graduated from Cal State Fullerton with a Bachelor’s Degree in Sports Administration. The morning after graduation, I woke up and went back to work in my job as Assistant Director of Public Relations for the California Angels baseball club, where I’d already been employed full time for nearly two […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

What Are REAL Returns, And Can You Eat Them?

In this edition of our quarterly letter, we’re going to explore the difference between nominal and real returns, along with the impact of inflation. There’s also a story on a case we just finished which added $794,000 to a client’s bottom line, which had nothing to do with our investment performance. Finally, we’ll revisit the […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

With Investing, How LONG Is Long Term?

Back in September 2015, our monthly email update was titled “More Selling Pressure is Likely,” as the stock market was in the midst of a multi-month decline of nearly 14% which culminated in February 2016. In response to that email, one of our clients sent me a concise note, simply saying, “Bob, declines are temporary, […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

Nothing Goes Up Forever, But Then Again, Maybe The Horse Will Talk

Much of what we fear is never realized. This is true in life, as well as in markets. We think we know what tomorrow will bring. The reality is, we don’t know, either for better or worse. Tomorrow is but a fog. The story is told of a man who was caught stealing in a […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

Interest Rates May Change. The Reasons You Invest In Bonds Don’t.

I’ve been searching for an appropriate title for this quarterly edition of TABR’s newsletter for weeks. “Why Our Bond Strategies Are Different,” didn’t quite ring the bell, although it is a significant part of the message we’re trying to convey. Then, last week I came across a full-page ad in the Wall Street Journal from […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

Supply And Demand Is More Important Than Sentiment Or Valuation, But. . .

In last month’s update just prior to Christmas, we put forth the evidence that market breadth was confirming the new highs in stock prices and that based on history, this portended higher prices in coming months.  Nothing has taken place to change that view, as it continues to be reinforced. Since December 22, the S&P […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates

What We Learn From History Is That People Don’t Learn From History

I was not the one who said that, but was astute enough to find it from all of the reading I do, and it was a quote from none other than Warren Buffett.  This is a good time to be reminded, because there is a lot of euphoria built into stock prices since the Trump […]

By Bob Kargenian | Monthly Updates
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