Monthly Updates
No, This Isn’t 2008 Again. It Could Be Worse
That got your attention, didn’t it? Hopefully, what I’m about to share about the state of the financial markets will not be interpreted as a de-facto forecast. It’s not what we do. Rather, it’s evidence-based wisdom based on my 39 years of learning and practicing technical analysis, and watching, investing and living markets during that […]
Be Careful Out There
This week’s events bring up fond memories of one of my all-time favorite TV shows from the early 1990s. Remember NYPD Blue, starring Dennis Franz? Starting in 1993 and ending in 2005, it turned out to be one of the longest running ever one-hour dramas on ABC, lasting 12 seasons. Almost every episode seemingly started […]
How We Invest Our Money, And Yours, And Where We’re At
First, I want to reinforce how seriously we take our mission, to care for you and your loved ones, on life’s journey, especially in regards to your personal finances and investments. We consider our primary job at TABR Capital Management to be financial planning and helping our clients protect their assets—especially during extreme market conditions […]
When It’s Time To Buy, You Won’t Want To and Don’t Die, It’s Expensive, and Honoring Gerry Appel
I remember growing up in the 1960s and 70s watching television shows like Superman, I Love Lucy and Gilligan’s Island, and once in a while, in the middle of the episode, the TV would go “BEEP,” and then this alien voice would come on and say, “This is a test of the Emergency Broadcast System. […]
Riding The Slope Of Hope, When Zero Is Different Than Free, 2019, And “Feels Great Baby”
Last Friday marked the 70th consecutive day for the S&P 500 without a greater than 1% higher or lower close than the previous day. As the chart below shows, most of the closes since early October have been UP. With the Federal Reserve again pumping money into the financial markets, we’ve had a market that […]
A Great 2019, Higher Highs Likely, And The Not So SECURE Act
When international equities lag U.S. stock indexes by over 10 percentage points, and still post gains of over 20%, you know it’s been a great year for stocks. When interest rates drop by 75 basis points, and the average high yield bond fund gains over 13%, you know it’s been a great year for bonds. […]
Checks In The Mail From PIMCO
Any day now, if not already, virtually all clients will be receiving small checks in your mail regarding a refund of advisory fees related to holding shares in the PIMCO All Asset All Authority Fund, during the period of April 2011 to November 2017. We owned this fund in almost all client accounts until we […]
How To Earn 4% In A Sub-2% World, Growth & Value, Losing 27% In One Day, And Estate Planning Blunders
A year ago at this time, the yield on the 10-year Treasury Note was 3.14%, and one was actually earning about 2.2% on money market funds at brokerage firms that were competitive. This ushered in a near -20% drop in the S&P 500 Index during last year’s fourth quarter, as Mr. Market responded by saying, […]
Roth 401Ks, New Highs, High Yield Bonds, And The Power Of Food
A growing number of workplace retirement plans are beginning to offer Roth 401 (k) plans in addition to the regular 401 (k) plan. Often, we get asked the question—which one is better? Even with the math we did, it turns out that question isn’t so easy to answer. But we definitely provide our thoughts. Meanwhile, […]
Falling Yields Are Not Likely Bullish, And Our Biggest Mistake
The President’s tweets on tariff negotiations with China along with Federal Reserve interest rate policy have been dominating financial market behavior in recent weeks. Since cutting the Fed Funds rate by 0.25% on July 31, yields on government bonds have fallen by 50 basis points in just over two weeks, which is a massive move […]